2017 Real Estate Market Update

National and Regional Single Family Market

According to NAR, existing single family homes sales have increased with projected annual sales of 5,810,000 units in November 2017 annually 2017 versus 5,600,000 units in November 2016.  Statistics in the South have increased slightly with annual sales in November 2017 of 2,340,000 versus 2,250,000 in November 2016.

Nat Existing Sales

As of November 2017, there was a 3.4 month supply of inventory available, which was down 9.7% from the previous year, nationwide.

National Sales Prices of Existing Homes

Meanwhile, the median nationwide existing single family home price was $248,000 in November 2017, which is up 5.8% from a year ago.  The median price in the South was $216,200, which was up 4.8% from the previous year.

The average nationwide existing single family home price was $289,900 in November 2017, reflecting a 4.8% increase from a year ago.  The average price in the South was up 3.1% from the previous year.

Florida Single Family Market

We relied on the data prepared by the Florida Association of Realtors (FAR) to provide an overall health of the Florida single family market.  This data is as follows:

As can be seen in the following charts, sales of single family homes at its height (in recent years) increased in 2015, compared with 2014 numbers.  Sales in Second Quarter 2017 were 79,888 compared to 71,723 in Second Quarter 2016.  This represents a 3.7% increase. Recently, sales of single family homes have decreased slightly to only 67,811, but remain higher than the First Quarter of 2017 and Forth Quarter of 2016.

STATE OF FLORIDA HISTORICAL CLOSED SALES FIGURES

Fl Closed Sales

Although there was a slight decrease in the number of sales, pricing has increased in Third Quarter of 2017, up 6.7% from the same time period in 2016.

STATE OF FLORIDA MEDIAN SALES PRICE FIGURES

FL Med Sales Price 2

Per FAR figures, the overall median sales price continues to increase.  However, the last two quarters have remained the same at $240,000.

Tampa Bay Single Family Market

The following data from the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA (includes Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas and Hillsborough Counties) was prepared by the Florida Association of  Realtors (FAR).  As can be seen in the following charts, median sales price of single family homes have increased in 2016 over 2015 to a high in the Third Quarter of 2017.

TAMPA AREA CLOSED SALES FIGURES

Tampa Closed Sales 

As can be seen in the above exhibit, sales volume dipped slightly to 12,198 single family homes from the Second Quarter of 2017.

TAMPA AREA MEDIAN SALES PRICE FIGURES

Tampa Median Sales 2

Pricing of homes has stabilized with a median sales price in the Third Quarter of 2017 of $225,000, representing a 9.8% increase from Third Quarter of 2016.

CONCLUSION

The Tampa Bay MSA area experienced large growth in residential housing during the residential “boom” period of the early to mid 2000’s. Since the beginning of 2013, the market has shown increases in both pricing and sales figures.  These figures continue to show improvement.  However, Hillsborough County is becoming more built out with less vacant land available for development.

In the Real Estate Market?

KW1784102f20KW.jpgYou should consider using a realtor.  I could save you money especially with new home builders and it does not cost you anything.  So why not? Let me save you money!!!  If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty a.t 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida 33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link

Advertisements

Its Time to Sell and Buy your Dream Home with Your Stock Market Returns.

Historical S&P 500 Return

money-7According to Scott Snider with www.mellenmoney.com,  approximately 10% is the average return for the S&P 500 since its inception back in 1928.  Adjusted for inflation the “real return” is more like 7%.  Also worth noting that nearly half of the gains from the S&P 500 resulted from dividends.

2017 S&P 500 Return

The 2017 S&P 500 Return: Buy, Hold and Reinvest

The above quoted numbers are accurate if you bought the index at the opening price on January 3rd, 2017 and sold at the closing price on December 29, 2017. If you’d prefer the numbers buying at the December 30, 2016 closing price the return would be +19.42% and +21.83%, respectively.

Here are the index price returns:

Price Return From
Open Close Gain
Jan 3, 2017 Start 2251.57 2673.61 18.74%
Dec 30, 2016 End 2238.83 2673.61 19.42%

Following are the dividend reinvested returns:

Dividend Reinvested Return From
Open Close Gain
Jan 3, 2017 Start 4303.12 5212.76 21.14%
Dec 30, 2016 End 4278.66 5212.76 21.83%

Whichever set of return time-spans you prefer, the message is the same “If you invest in funds or stocks that pay a dividend you’ll have to choose what to do with the payouts. Simply quoting price returns without regard to real returns in cash form doesn’t reveal the true impact of an investment.”  Either way, 2017 was a very good year for stocks with gains doubling histroical returns.

Source on the 2017 S&P 500 Return Calculations

These numbers come from S&P Dow Jones Indices, the owner of the S&P 500 Index. They have both the classic S&P 500 price index as well as the dividend reinvested numbers from 1987 forward.

2018 S&P 500 Return Projections

According to UBS, the S&P 500 could surge 18 percent this year, which raised its 2018 target to 3,150, the highest on Wall Street, only three trading days into the year.  The Dow Jones industrial average already crossed 25,000

The S&P 500’s gain on the year will be 17.8 percent according to the new UBS target and based on the benchmark’s closing value of 2017. Taking into account the rally to start 2018, the index will rise 15.5 percent from here, according to the UBS target. The firm’s previous 2018 forecast for the S&P 500 was 2,900.

“We assume solid growth,” said Keith Parker, the chief U.S. equity strategist at UBS, in an appearance on CNBC’s “Halftime Report.” “We do expect a large pickup in buybacks and M&A.”

What’s Next?

What are you goingto do with all that money?  If you want to find your dream home in the Tampa Bay area (Florida), you should contact Alan!!!  I can help you find it.  I love helping people find that dream home.  Additionally , yKW1784102f20KW.jpgou should consider using a realtor.  I could save you money especially with new home builders and it does not cost you anything.  So why not? Let me save you money!!!  If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty a.t 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida 33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link

 

The Summit at Fern Hill in Riverview

Looking for a new home in Tampa Bay?  Why not consider a new Lennar Home?  When they say everything is included.  They mean it.  You don’t have to worry about blinds.  These homes are also very energy effincent.  There are four quick move in ready homes in the subdivision known as “The Summit at Riverview” in Riverview, Florida.  Here is some information about these homes:

SOURCE: Lennar Homes

There are two Four-bedroom/Two-Bath, 1,817 square foot, Harrisburg models ranging in price is offered at $216,890.

Harrisburg first flr

SOURCE: Lennar Homes

The Four-bedroom/Two-Bath, 1,936  square foot, Hartford model  is offered at $216,890.

HARTFORD fIREST fLOOR

SOURCE: Lennar Homes

The two-story, Four-bedroom/Flex/Two and One Half-Bath, 2,584  square foot, Providence  model is offered at $216,890.

SOURCE: Lennar Homes

In the Real Estate Market?

KW1784102f20KW.jpgYou should consider using a realtor.  I could save you money especially with new home builders and it does not cost you anything.  So why not? Let me save you money!!!  If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty a.t 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida 33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link

 

Helping sellers and their credit ratings.

IMG_7017

I’m in the real estate sales business to help people and not necessarily to make alot of money.  A home purchase is most likely one of the biggest investment that a typical person will make in their life.  I just closed a short sale yesterday for a client and he is on his way to reestablishing his credit (Rating).  According to Wikipedia “A short sale is a sale of real estate in which the net proceeds from selling the property will fall short of the debts secured by liens against the property. In this case, if all lien holders agree to accept less than the amount owed on the debt, a sale of the property can be accomplished.”  According to http://www.thebalance.com, their are both benefits for a short sale versus a foreclosure, which are as follows:

Short Sale Benefits

Here are a few benefits for doing a short sale:

  • You are in control of the sale, not the bank.
  • You may sleep better knowing who is buying your home.
  • You will spare yourself the social stigma of the “F” word, foreclosure.
  • Contrary to popular belief, you can often stay current on your payments and still apply for a short sale.
  • Your home sale will be handled like any other home sale, with respect and dignity.
  • Once the property is sold…Most banks report to the major consumer agencies as “account paid in full for less than the full balance”

Foreclosure Benefits

Here are a few benefits for choosing to do a foreclosure:

  • It’s an immediate solution.
  • You can stop making payments and live in the home until you get kicked out.
  • For some, it’s revenge; you might feel better initially telling the bank where to go when it refused your loan modification.
  • If something breaks or malfunctions, you don’t have to fix it.
  • You can leave the home behind and simply walk away.

In this case, the owner opted for the short sale and the bank will  report to the major consumer agencies as “account paid in full for less than the full balance”  Now he is on his way to reestablishing his credit.  More importantly, he does not have to worry about what is going to happen in the near future with court hearings, letters from the bank, phone calls, etc.

In the Real Estate Market?

KW1784102f20KW.jpgYou should consider using a realtor.  I could save you money especially with new home builders and it does not cost you anything.  So why not? If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty a.t 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida 33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link

La Collina Spec Home in Brandon Florida

cropped-image1.pngLa Collina is located at the northeastern quadrant of Lithia Pinecrest and Lumsden Roads in Brandon, Florida.  This location is located in one of the best areas of Brandon including, but not limited to a wide variety of shopping, parks, and restaurants.  Amenities include a clubhouse, playground, a pavilion with a resort style swimming pool, cabanas, trails, and a dog park.  There is an annual CDD fee of $1,303.09 and HOA fees of $306 per month with a $500 capital contribution.  The community features a variety of single family homes with six floor plans:

  • Pricing from $282,990s to $306,990s
  • Square footage from 2,074 to 2,775
  • Bedrooms from 3 to 4
  • Bathrooms from 2 to 2

This area is known is for some of the better schools in Hillsborough County.  Currently, the schools include the following:

  • Brooker Elementary School
  • Burns Middle School
  • Bloomingdale High School

Although the above schools are the currently assigned to the subject development, I would suggest that a potential buyer check the Hillsborough County website to verify the schools and more information (school grades, school calendar, etc.). If you are relocating to Hillsborough County, you can find your school at click here as well as the school calendar at click here.

Shopping for a large production or custom home builder can be a daunting task.  Start by defining what architectural styles appeal to you and then seek out the builders in your area who offer those styles.  Due diligence is essential.  Unlike most builders, Lennar offer a home that has everything included.  What does that mean for the buyer?  In the case of upgrades, it is simply a matter of over pricing them above what you could get done from an individual subcontractor.  I’m not saying that Lennar does not offer upgrades, but most of the “typical” upgrades in the modern home as “granite” countertops are included.  Whereas, a lot of builder charge higher prices at their “design centers”.  This is just something to think about when deciding on purchasing a home.

 The builder representative and your real estate agent

A builder representative’s ultimate goal is to sell you a home.  His or her role is to provide a wide range of information to help you in your decision-making, from building restrictions, roads and easements to inspections, warranties, rebates and upgrades.  A real estate agent knowledgeable in new home construction will be able to help you wade through all the data and point out the downsides and upsides of each line item.  Your agent also can look out for your interests in reviewing the builder’s contract, which often contains more legal jargon than consumer friendly language.

There is one spec home available (the Georgia) within the La Collina.  This 2,074 square foot, 3 bedroom home features a designer kitchen with an abundance of counter and cabinet space.  It looks out to the open space of the family and dining room for a great open feel.  The bedrooms are on the second floor and large, with the master suite over 20 feet wide with a huge closet and luxury master bath with garden tub. The laundry room is on the second floor for your convenience.

Georgia Elevation

Georgia 1st Flr

Georgia 2nd

Front Elevations and Floor Plans provided by Lennar Homes

KW1784102f20KW_thumb.jpgYou should consider using a realtor.  I could save you money especially with new home builders and it does not cost you anything.  So why not?  If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty a.t 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida  33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link

FHA Versus Conventional Loan (With and Without Closing Costs) Example

keller20williams20logo_full.jpg

In today’s economy, it is often hard for buyers to come up with the additional money for closing costs and/or sellers are not willing to pay some or all of buyer’s closing costs to buy residential real estate.  Thus, I have been provided with an example of FHA versus Conventional Loans (with and without closing costs) for a property offered at $179,900.

money-7As demonstrated in the above exhibit, the cost to roll in the additional costs for either a Conventional or FHA loan is nominal over a 30 year term.  These closing costs include, but are not limited to real estate commissions (usually paid by the seller), lender fees (i.e..loan origination fee, loan discount points, application fee, etc.), homeowner’s insurance (in some cases flood insurance is required), real estate taxes, title feees, survey costs, inspections (i.e.pest.and home inspectors), etc.  With the new FHA rules that require mortgage insurance over the entire term regardless of loan-to-value, a conventional loan is a home buyer’s best option (if they can qualify for it).  FHA still is the easiest to qualify for.

KW1784102f20KW_thumb.jpgFor more information about finding the right financial product for you, you can contact Stephen Speer at stephenspeer@inlanta.com, or visit his web site atstephenspeer.com.  

You should consider using a realtor.  If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty a.t 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida  33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link

Residential Market Insights: May 2016

cropped-lido-waterfront-home_thumb.jpgHOME SALES

The median home price was $222,700 in March, which was up 5 percent from February and up 5.7 percent from last year. The median home price has increased by approximately $12,000 in the past year alone.

HOME PRICE

The National Association of REALTORS® reported home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.3 million homes during the month of March. This was an increase of 5.1 percent from February, and an increase of 1.5 percent from March of last year. Currently, 2016 is projected to outpace 2015 by approximately 720,000 total home sales.

INVENTORY – MONTH’S SUPPLY

There was a 4.5-month supply of housing inventory in March, up from 4.4 months in February. The total number of homes for sale in March increased by 2.3 percent to 1.98 million homes nationwide, but that was still 30,000 fewer listings than March of last year.

CURRENT MORTGAGE RATES

The following is a summary of the current mortgage rates:

May 2016 Mortgage Rates

Source: This Month in Real Estate

Thinking of buying or selling real estate?

KW1784102f20KWYou should consider using a realtor.  If you are interested in buying real estate (new home, existing home, or commercial property), please contact me (Alan Lane with Keller Williams Realty at 2119 W Brandon Blvd, Brandon, Florida  33511).  As a life long resident of Central Florida, I can help you find the right property for you whether it is in Lakeland or as far south as Sarasota.  The Keller Williams offices of  ”Suburban Tampa” include the offices in Brandon, Plant City, Fishhawk Ranch, and our newest office in Valrico.  My email address is alanlane66@gmail.com, or call me at 813.205.9280.  If you are just starting your search, you can search the MLS for real estate opportunities on my website at this link.